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5 years of sales data · Data through Jul 2026 · Buying instead?
Measured from roughly 256,216 actual Bay Area closings over the past 5 years, seller conditions peak around May: homes closing in the three months ending in May have averaged 6.2% over list price (63% of them above asking), versus just 2.5% over list in the three months ending in January. Homes also move fastest in that same stretch (~16 days to pending).
One timing detail that matters: these are closing figures, reported by Redfin as rolling three-month windows, and closings lag listings by roughly four to six weeks. To close into the May peak, the home needs to be listed — photographed, prepped, priced — by about February. And as with any seasonal average across 5 years, it's a tendency, not a promise; the specific home, pricing, and preparation matter more than the calendar.
Averages across all tracked cities, 5 years of data; each row is the three months ending in that month — highlighted rows favor sellers
| 3 months ending | Homes sold | Sold over asking | Sale vs. list | Homes for sale | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 10,292 | 46% | 2.5% | 5,433 | 30d |
| February | 9,200 | 48% | 3.0% | 6,191 | 29d |
| March | 9,870 | 56% | 4.7% | 6,962 | 21d |
| April | 12,121 | 61% | 5.9% | 8,005 | 17d |
| May | 14,038 | 63% | 6.2% | 8,671 | 16d |
| June | 14,467 | 62% | 5.8% | 8,850 | 17d |
| July | 14,042 | 58% | 4.8% | 8,888 | 19d |
| August | 15,084 | 58% | 4.5% | 8,216 | 20d |
| September | 14,275 | 54% | 3.7% | 8,951 | 22d |
| October | 14,225 | 53% | 3.5% | 8,384 | 23d |
| November | 13,499 | 52% | 3.4% | 6,697 | 23d |
| December | 12,616 | 49% | 3.1% | 4,512 | 25d |
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