Madrone Canyon, Larkspur Housing Market · 2026

Data through Jul 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Madrone Canyon, Larkspur Market Snapshot

Madrone Canyon leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Here's where things stand:

Based on 5 homes sold in the 3 months ending July 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through July 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$2.27M
Up 65.3% from July 2025
Up $899K from July 2025
Homes Sold
5
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$14,304/mo
6.71% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$11,752
  • Property Tax$2,369
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
35 days
3 fewer days than in July 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Up from 94.9% in July 2025
Selling at or near asking price
% Sold Over Asking
40%
40% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
2
Up 7.2% from July 2025
About 1.3 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Madrone Canyon.

Median Sale Price
Up 65.3% year-over-year in Madrone Canyon. Based on 5 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 56% from a year ago in Madrone Canyon, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 6.71%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Madrone Canyon, Larkspur

Is now a good time to buy in Madrone Canyon, Larkspur?

Madrone Canyon, Larkspur leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Buyers still have leverage to negotiate, but the window may be narrowing.

How do Madrone Canyon, Larkspur home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $2.27M, Madrone Canyon, Larkspur's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.80M.

Within Larkspur, this area trades about 20% above the city-wide median of $1.90M.

How competitive is Madrone Canyon, Larkspur for buyers?

Madrone Canyon, Larkspur currently leans toward buyers:

  • Homes sell about 0.3% below asking on average
  • 40% close above list price
  • 35 days typical time to go pending
  • 28% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: a well-structured offer near or below list price has a good chance of success.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Madrone Canyon, Larkspur home?

At $2.27M with 20% down at 6.71%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $14,304:

  • $11,752 principal and interest
  • $2,369 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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