DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
Data through Sep 2026
Mill Valley is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:
Based on 38 homes sold in the 3 months ending September 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Updated weekly.
Data through September 2026
See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Mill Valley.
Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.
The median sale price in Mill Valley is $1.85M — almost exactly where it stood in October 2021 ($1.81M). Over that stretch, the median peaked at $2.90M in June 2022 and bottomed at $1.51M in February 2022. That puts today's price about 11% below the area's 5-year average of $2.07M. Each point is the median of a rolling 3-month window of closings, so the curve runs smoother than any single month; the multi-year direction is the signal.
What buyers actually pay has moved more than the sticker price suggests: a typical monthly payment (20% down, principal & interest) is about $9,872 today, up 58% from $6,232 in October 2021. Most of that increase comes from mortgage rates (3.1% then vs. 7.0% now), not prices — at October 2021 rates, today's median would run about $6,349/mo.
Seasonally, the three months ending in June have been the busiest stretch for closings in Mill Valley over the past 5 years (about 61 sales in that window on average, vs. 26 for the stretch ending in February). That's an average across just 5 observations per month, so treat it as a tendency, not a rule.
Mill Valley is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.
At $1.85M, Mill Valley's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.77M.
By home type:
Prices in Mill Valley depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:
Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.
Mill Valley is a balanced market where neither side dominates:
Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.
At $1.85M with 20% down at 7.4%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $12,352:
HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.
→“Mel did an amazing job helping us buy our first home. When we first met her, we had done literally zero of the steps needed to buy a house, and 28 days later we closed.”
“I work in commercial real estate with many different agents and I can proudly say that Mel is above the rest.”
“Working with Mel was the best decision I made in my home-buying journey. She was incredibly patient, taking the time to explain every detail of the process to me.”
“Mel did an incredible job helping me find and purchase my first home! She was very responsive, professional, and knowledgeable.”
“Working with Mel was a fantastic experience from start to finish. We were immediately impressed by her active listening and her ability to translate our needs.”
I read every message and usually reply the same day.
