DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
Data through Jul 2026
San Carlos is one of the most competitive markets in the Bay Area, and it's still heating up. Here's what you need to know:
Based on 94 homes sold in the 3 months ending July 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Updated weekly.
Data through July 2026
See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in San Carlos.
Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.
The median sale price in San Carlos is $2.48M — up 13% from $2.20M in September 2021. Over that stretch, the median peaked at $2.75M in March 2026 and bottomed at $1.88M in September 2024. That puts today's price about 10% above the area's 5-year average of $2.25M. Each point is the median of a rolling 3-month window of closings, so the curve runs smoother than any single month; the multi-year direction is the signal.
What buyers actually pay has moved more than the sticker price suggests: a typical monthly payment (20% down, principal & interest) is about $12,756 today, up 72% from $7,430 in September 2021. Most of that increase comes from mortgage rates (3.0% then vs. 6.7% now), not prices — at September 2021 rates, today's median would run about $8,380/mo.
Seasonally, the three months ending in June have been the busiest stretch for closings in San Carlos over the past 5 years (about 93 sales in that window on average, vs. 48 for the stretch ending in February), while competition has run hottest in the stretch ending in May (68% of homes selling over asking on average). That's an average across just 5 observations per month, so treat it as a tendency, not a rule.
San Carlos is one of the most competitive markets in the Bay Area. Buyers should expect to offer above asking price, be prepared to waive contingencies, and act fast. Coming in with strong financing and a clear strategy is essential.
At $2.48M, San Carlos's median sits about 38% above the Bay Area average of $1.80M. San Carlos is on the higher end of the regional market.
By home type:
Prices in San Carlos depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:
Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.
San Carlos is one of the Bay Area's more competitive markets:
Buyer strategy: budget 5 to 10% above ask on well-priced listings, with financing pre-approved and offers ready to move quickly.
At $2.48M with 20% down at 6.71%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $15,590:
HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.
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