DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
DRE #02250755“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
Data through Jul 2026
Orinda favors sellers and competition is intensifying. Here's the picture:
Based on 70 homes sold in the 3 months ending July 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Updated weekly.
Data through July 2026
See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Orinda.
Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.
The median sale price in Orinda is $2.01M — up 8% from $1.85M in September 2021. Over that stretch, the median peaked at $2.30M in June 2022 and bottomed at $1.65M in January 2025. That's right in line with the area's 5-year average of $1.94M. Each point is the median of a rolling 3-month window of closings, so the curve runs smoother than any single month; the multi-year direction is the signal.
What buyers actually pay has moved more than the sticker price suggests: a typical monthly payment (20% down, principal & interest) is about $10,341 today, up 65% from $6,265 in September 2021. Most of that increase comes from mortgage rates (3.0% then vs. 6.7% now), not prices — at September 2021 rates, today's median would run about $6,793/mo.
Seasonally, the three months ending in June have been the busiest stretch for closings in Orinda over the past 5 years (about 77 sales in that window on average, vs. 32 for the stretch ending in February). That's an average across just 5 observations per month, so treat it as a tendency, not a rule.
Orinda favors sellers and competition is intensifying. Buyers should prepare strong offers and expect limited room to negotiate on well-priced listings.
At $2.01M, Orinda's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.80M.
Orinda currently favors sellers:
Buyer strategy: well-priced homes still move quickly, but there is modest room for strong offers. Come in pre-approved with a clear plan.
At $2.01M with 20% down at 6.71%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $12,673:
HOA fees are extra.
→“Mel did an amazing job helping us buy our first home. When we first met her, we had done literally zero of the steps needed to buy a house, and 28 days later we closed.”
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“Working with Mel was the best decision I made in my home-buying journey. She was incredibly patient, taking the time to explain every detail of the process to me.”
“Mel did an incredible job helping me find and purchase my first home! She was very responsive, professional, and knowledgeable.”
“Working with Mel was a fantastic experience from start to finish. We were immediately impressed by her active listening and her ability to translate our needs.”
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