Canal, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through May 2026

Canal, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Canal leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Here's where things stand:

Based on 7 homes sold in May 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through May 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$950K
Down 12.6% from May 2025
Down $137K from May 2025
Homes Sold
7
Sold in the most recent month. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$5,972/mo
6.49% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$4,799
  • Property Tax$990
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
27 days
11 more days than in May 2025
Homes typically sell within a month
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Up from 98.5% in May 2025
Selling 1% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
29%
Only 29% sold above asking. Few bidding wars right now
Active Listings
8
Down 38.5% from May 2025
About 1.1 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Canal.

Median Sale Price
Down 12.6% year-over-year in Canal. Based on 7 sales in the most recent month.
Homes Sold
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is down 15% from a year ago in Canal, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 6.49%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Canal, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Canal, San Rafael?

Canal, San Rafael leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Buyers still have leverage to negotiate, but the window may be narrowing.

How do Canal, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $950K, Canal, San Rafael's median sits about 49% below the Bay Area average of $1.85M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that Canal, San Rafael is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 30% below the city-wide median of $1.35M.

By home type:

  • Condos at $435K
  • Townhomes at $888K
  • Single-family homes at $1.23M
What price range should I budget for in Canal, San Rafael?

Prices in Canal, San Rafael depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:

  • Condos at $435K
  • Townhomes at $888K
  • Single-family homes at $1.23M

Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.

How competitive is Canal, San Rafael for buyers?

Canal, San Rafael currently leans toward buyers:

  • Homes sell about 0.7% below asking on average
  • 29% close above list price
  • 27 days typical time to go pending

Buyer strategy: a well-structured offer near or below list price has a good chance of success.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Canal, San Rafael home?

At $950K with 20% down at 6.49%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $5,972:

  • $4,799 principal and interest
  • $990 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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