Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through May 2026

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Here's where things stand:

Based on 6 homes sold in May 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through May 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.18M
Up 20.8% from May 2025
Up $203K from May 2025
Homes Sold
6
Sold in the most recent month. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$7,362/mo
6.49% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$5,952
  • Property Tax$1,227
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
39 days
19 fewer days than in May 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Up from 96.8% in May 2025
Selling 1% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
17%
Only 17% sold above asking. Few bidding wars right now
Active Listings
3
Down 50.0% from May 2025
About 0.5 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill.

Median Sale Price
Up 20.8% year-over-year in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill. Based on 6 sales in the most recent month.
Homes Sold
20% more homes sold than a year ago in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 12% from a year ago in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 6.49%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Buyers still have leverage to negotiate, but the window may be narrowing.

How do Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.18M, Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael's median sits about 36% below the Bay Area average of $1.85M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 13% below the city-wide median of $1.35M.

How competitive is Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael for buyers?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael currently leans toward buyers:

  • Homes sell about 0.7% below asking on average
  • 17% close above list price
  • 39 days typical time to go pending

Buyer strategy: a well-structured offer near or below list price has a good chance of success.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home?

At $1.18M with 20% down at 6.49%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $7,362:

  • $5,952 principal and interest
  • $1,227 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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