Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Sep 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Here's where things stand:

Based on 7 homes sold in the 3 months ending September 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through September 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.45M
▲ Up 47.2% from September 2025
Up $465K from September 2025
Homes Sold
7
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$9,723/mo
7.4% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$8,029
  • Property Tax$1,510
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
48 days
▼ 38 fewer days than in September 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.3%
▲ Up from 99.4% in September 2025
Selling at or near asking price
% Sold Over Asking
43%
43% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
6
▲ Up 220.1% from September 2025
About 2.8 months of supply. Moderate selection available

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill.

Median Sale Price
Up 47.2% year-over-year in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill. Based on 7 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 55% from a year ago in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.4%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael leans toward buyers, though competition has been picking up recently. Buyers still have leverage to negotiate, but the window may be narrowing.

How do Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.45M, Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael's median sits about 18% below the Bay Area average of $1.77M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 12% above the city-wide median of $1.30M.

How competitive is Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael for buyers?

Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael currently leans toward buyers:

  • Homes sell about 1% above asking on average
  • 43% close above list price
  • 48 days typical time to go pending
  • 15% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: a well-structured offer near or below list price has a good chance of success.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Lincoln-San Rafael Hill, San Rafael home?

At $1.45M with 20% down at 7.4%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $9,723:

  • $8,029 principal and interest
  • $1,510 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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