Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through May 2026

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Dominican-Black Canyon is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:

Based on 13 homes sold in May 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Updated weekly.

Data through May 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.94M
Up 7.6% from May 2025
Up $138K from May 2025
Homes Sold
13
Sold in the most recent month. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$11,973/mo
6.49% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$9,774
  • Property Tax$2,016
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
31 days
6 fewer days than in May 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.7%
Up from 96.9% in May 2025
Selling at or near asking price
% Sold Over Asking
38%
38% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
10
· Up 0.0% from May 2025
About 0.8 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Dominican-Black Canyon.

Median Sale Price
Up 7.6% year-over-year in Dominican-Black Canyon. Based on 13 sales in the most recent month.
Homes Sold
30% more homes sold than a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 4% from a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 6.49%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.

How do Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.94M, Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.85M.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 43% above the city-wide median of $1.35M.

By home type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.94M
  • Townhomes at $810K
What price range should I budget for in Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael?

Prices in Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.94M
  • Townhomes at $810K

Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.

How competitive is Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael for buyers?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael is a balanced market where neither side dominates:

  • Homes sell about 2% above asking on average
  • 38% close above list price
  • 31 days typical time to go pending

Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home?

At $1.94M with 20% down at 6.49%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $11,973:

  • $9,774 principal and interest
  • $2,016 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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