Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Sep 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael Market Snapshot

Dominican-Black Canyon is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:

Based on 9 homes sold in the 3 months ending September 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through September 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$2.10M
▼ Down 1.7% from September 2025
Down $36K from September 2025
Homes Sold
9
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$13,999/mo
7.4% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$11,629
  • Property Tax$2,187
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
15 days
▼ 24 fewer days than in September 2025
Homes typically sell within a month
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
▼ Down from 104.6% in September 2025
Selling 1% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
55%
More than half of homes sold above their asking price
Active Listings
7
▼ Down 46.6% from September 2025
About 2.5 months of supply. Moderate selection available

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Dominican-Black Canyon.

Median Sale Price
Down 1.7% year-over-year in Dominican-Black Canyon. Based on 9 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
29% more homes sold than a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 5% from a year ago in Dominican-Black Canyon, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.4%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.

How do Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $2.10M, Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael's median is close to the Bay Area average of $1.77M.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 62% above the city-wide median of $1.30M.

How competitive is Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael for buyers?

Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael is a balanced market where neither side dominates:

  • Homes sell about 0.7% below asking on average
  • 55% close above list price
  • 15 days typical time to go pending
  • 33% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Dominican-Black Canyon, San Rafael home?

At $2.10M with 20% down at 7.4%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $13,999:

  • $11,629 principal and interest
  • $2,187 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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