San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael Housing Market · 2026

Data through Sep 2026

Data curated by Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · How this data works

San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael Market Snapshot

San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale is a balanced market, but competition has been picking up. Here's where things stand:

Based on 6 homes sold in the 3 months ending September 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through September 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.06M
▼ Down 29.2% from September 2025
Down $438K from September 2025
Homes Sold
6
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$7,157/mo
7.4% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$5,870
  • Property Tax$1,104
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
23 days
▼ 29 fewer days than in September 2025
Homes typically sell within a month
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
▼ Down from 100.0% in September 2025
Selling 1% below asking
% Sold Over Asking
50%
50% of homes sold above asking, some competition
Active Listings
3
▼ Down 36.0% from September 2025
About 1.6 months of supply. Very low, limited options for buyers

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale.

Median Sale Price
Down 29.2% year-over-year in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale. Based on 6 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is down 24% from a year ago in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.4%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael

Is now a good time to buy in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael?

San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael is balanced but competition is picking up. It remains a reasonable environment for buyers, though acting decisively on well-priced homes is becoming more important.

How do San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.06M, San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael's median sits about 40% below the Bay Area average of $1.77M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

Within San Rafael, this area trades about 18% below the city-wide median of $1.30M.

By home type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.15M
  • Townhomes at $860K
What price range should I budget for in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael?

Prices in San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael depend heavily on home type and specific neighborhood. Median sale prices by type:

  • Single-family homes at $1.15M
  • Townhomes at $860K

Individual listings vary widely based on location, size, and condition. The best calibration is to narrow to a few specific neighborhoods you are considering and look at recent sales there.

How competitive is San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael for buyers?

San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael is a balanced market where neither side dominates:

  • Homes sell about 0.7% below asking on average
  • 50% close above list price
  • 23 days typical time to go pending
  • 27% of listings have had a price reduction

Buyer strategy: contingencies are more accepted, and there is time to tour and negotiate without extreme pressure.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced San Rafael Meadows-Merrydale, San Rafael home?

At $1.06M with 20% down at 7.4%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $7,157:

  • $5,870 principal and interest
  • $1,104 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra. Condo buyers typically budget an additional $300 to $700 per month for HOA, and townhome HOAs run $200 to $500.

No noise, just a quick weekly read on what's going on in your market.

Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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