Outer Mission, San Francisco Housing Market · 2026

Data through Sep 2026

Outer Mission, San Francisco Market Snapshot

Outer Mission favors sellers and competition is intensifying. Here's the picture:

  • 32 days on market gives buyers time to be selective and negotiate
  • Selling 12% above asking. Budget above list price to compete
  • Loan payment: $6,648/mo P&I (7.32%, 20% down) · Est. total ~$8,091/mo with tax + insurance, well below the Bay Area average.
  • Bidding wars persist (62% sell above list) but inventory is growing, so competition may ease soon
  • Outer Mission pricing is 23% below the San Francisco median ($1.21M vs. $1.58M)

Based on 8 homes sold in the 3 months ending September 2026. Includes all residential types (SFH, condo, townhouse, multi-family, and others). Enough to see the trend, but individual sales still move the median. Updated weekly.

Data through September 2026

SalesWhat are homes selling for?
Median Sale Price
$1.21M
▲ Up 15.3% from September 2025
Up $161K from September 2025
Homes Sold
8
Sold in the last 3 months. More sales = more reliable data.
Your CostWhat would you actually pay each month?
Monthly Payment
~$8,091/mo
7.32% · 30yr fixed · 20% down
Payment Breakdown
  • Principal & Interest$6,648
  • Property Tax$1,260
  • Insurance$183
CompetitionHow competitive is it right now?
Days on Market
32 days
▲ 12 more days than in September 2025
Buyers have time to decide
Sale-to-List Ratio
111.9%
▲ Up from 103.4% in September 2025
Selling 12% above asking
% Sold Over Asking
62%
More than half of homes sold above their asking price
Active Listings
6
▲ Up 60.0% from September 2025
About 2.4 months of supply. Moderate selection available

Market Trends

See how prices, monthly costs, and mortgage rates have moved in Outer Mission.

Median Sale Price
Up 15.3% year-over-year in Outer Mission. Based on 8 sales in the last 3 months.
Homes Sold
About the same sales volume as a year ago in Outer Mission.
Total Monthly Payment
Estimated monthly cost is up 22% from a year ago in Outer Mission, reflecting changes in both price and mortgage rates.

Includes principal, interest, estimated CA property tax (~1.25%), and estimated insurance (~$2,200/yr). HOA fees not included.

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate (National Avg.)
National average currently at 7.32%. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.

Frequently asked questions about Outer Mission, San Francisco

Is now a good time to buy in Outer Mission, San Francisco?

Outer Mission, San Francisco favors sellers and competition is intensifying. Buyers should prepare strong offers and expect limited room to negotiate on well-priced listings.

How do Outer Mission, San Francisco home prices compare to the Bay Area average?

At $1.21M, Outer Mission, San Francisco's median sits about 32% below the Bay Area average of $1.77M. That average is skewed high by ultra-premium peninsula enclaves like Atherton and Woodside, so a more useful frame is that Outer Mission, San Francisco is one of the more accessible corners of the Bay Area.

Within San Francisco, this area trades about 23% below the city-wide median of $1.58M.

How competitive is Outer Mission, San Francisco for buyers?

Outer Mission, San Francisco currently favors sellers:

  • Homes sell about 12% above asking on average
  • 62% close above list price
  • 32 days typical time to go pending

Buyer strategy: well-priced homes still move quickly, but there is modest room for strong offers. Come in pre-approved with a clear plan.

What will my total monthly cost be on a median-priced Outer Mission, San Francisco home?

At $1.21M with 20% down at 7.32%, your estimated total monthly cost is approximately $8,091:

  • $6,648 principal and interest
  • $1,260 property tax (California 1.25% effective rate)
  • $183 homeowners insurance

HOA fees are extra.

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Melanie Tan
Melanie Tan
DRE #02250755
“I help Bay Area buyers and sellers make confident moves with the latest market data, real local expertise, and the patience to find what's actually right for you, not the fastest close.”
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